Modelling Switch-Behaviour of Own Car vs. Public Transport (PT) Modes for Shopping Trips Case Study: Tripoli - Libya

Abstract

This research deals with estimating the likely switch of car ownership drivers and private transport vehicles modes users to public transportation system (PT) modes in the main cities as Tripoli Capital city of Libya due to reduced shopping travel time of all trips influenced by age, household size. Car ownership and shopping distance through the introducing the public transport modes such as public buses. The data on other factors (variables) that could potentially reason a model switch of from car ownership drivers and private transport vehicles modes users to public transport were collected through a survey (questionnaire) with a specified predilection method. Mode-switch models to describe the switch of conduct of own car operators to PT system are developed. A binary logistic regression model was used to assessment the transport displacement model for shopping trips. Probability curves have been developed to change the position so that it is a user-friendly tool for analysing the potential transformation Model of a variety of variables. One way to achieve this objective is by establishing reserved public transportation lanes on main urban Tripoli city roads. The providing of private road lanes will increase of service road level and reduce the level of road traffic congestion and this may effect in a switch of all or some private transport mode users to public transport modes.